Normal Distribution and Z-Scores – ENGR 216, Mid-Term Review – Study Notes

Source: ENGR 216 Practice Challenges, Texas A&M

Tags: normal distribution, z-score, z-table, probability, bell curve, standard normal, cumulative probability, ENGR 216, experimental physics


TL;DR

The normal (Gaussian) distribution is the workhorse of engineering statistics. Converting a raw value to a z-score tells you how many standard deviations it sits from the mean, and a z-table converts that into a probability. The mid-term tests your ability to go from a word problem to a z-score to a looked-up probability, often expressed as a percentage.


Key Terms

Normal distribution (Gaussian distribution)

A symmetric, bell-shaped probability distribution defined entirely by its mean (μ) and standard deviation (σ). Most values cluster near the mean, with tails extending equally in both directions.

Standard normal distribution

A normal distribution with μ = 0 and σ = 1. All normal distributions can be converted to it via the z-score formula.

Z-score (standard score)

The number of standard deviations a value lies above or below the mean: z = (x − μ) / σ.

Z-table (standard normal table)

A lookup table giving the cumulative probability P(Z ≤ z), the area under the standard normal curve to the left of a given z-value.

Cumulative probability

The probability that a randomly selected value falls at or below a specified value. Equivalently, the area under the curve from the far left up to that value.

Complementary probability

P(Z > z) = 1 − P(Z ≤ z). Used when you need the probability of exceeding a value.


Core Content

The Z-Score Formula

z = (x − μ) / σ

Where x is the value of interest, μ is the population mean, and σ is the population standard deviation.

Reading the Z-Table

  • Compute z.

  • Look up z in the table. The row gives the ones and tenths digit (e.g., 1.2), the column gives the hundredths digit (e.g., 0.05 for z = 1.25).

  • The table value is P(Z ≤ z), the area to the left.

Common Probability Scenarios

"Less than" or "shorter than" or "fails before":

P(X < x) = table lookup at z. The table gives this directly.

"Greater than" or "longer than" or "survives beyond":

P(X > x) = 1 − P(Z ≤ z)

"Between two values":

P(a < X < b) = P(Z ≤ z_b) − P(Z ≤ z_a)

Converting Probability to Percentage

Multiply the decimal probability by 100. If the exam asks for a number between 0.0 and 100.0, give the percentage, not the raw decimal.


Formulas

Z-score: z = (x − μ) / σ

Left-tail probability (directly from table): P(X < x) = P(Z ≤ z)

Right-tail probability: P(X > x) = 1 − P(Z ≤ z)

Between two values: P(a < X < b) = P(Z ≤ z_b) − P(Z ≤ z_a)


Worked Example 1 (Practice Challenge 6)

Repair time: μ = 120 min, σ = 4 min. Find P(X ≥ 125).

z = (125 − 120) / 4 = 5 / 4 = 1.25

From z-table: P(Z ≤ 1.25) = 0.8944

P(X ≥ 125) = 1 − 0.8944 = 0.1056

As a percentage: 10.56%. As a decimal rounded to two places: 0.11 (or 10.56 if the answer is expected as a percentage between 0 and 100).

Check your exam prompt for which format is expected.


Worked Example 2 (Practice Challenge 7)

Battery life: μ = 600 days, σ = 60 days.

Survive beyond 690 days:

z = (690 − 600) / 60 = 90 / 60 = 1.50

P(Z ≤ 1.50) = 0.9332

P(X > 690) = 1 − 0.9332 = 0.0668

Fraction surviving beyond 690 days: 0.07 (rounded to two decimal places)

Fail before 555 days:

z = (555 − 600) / 60 = −45 / 60 = −0.75

P(Z ≤ −0.75) = 0.2266

Fraction failing before 555 days: 0.23 (rounded to two decimal places)


Worked Example 3 (Practice Challenge 8)

Heights: μ = 160 cm, σ = 5 cm. Find P(X < 155) as a percentage.

z = (155 − 160) / 5 = −5 / 5 = −1.00

P(Z ≤ −1.00) = 0.1587

As a percentage: 15.87%


Worked Example 4 (Practice Challenge 9)

Salaries: μ = $4,000, σ = $500. Find P(X > $4,500) as a percentage.

z = (4500 − 4000) / 500 = 500 / 500 = 1.00

P(Z ≤ 1.00) = 0.8413

P(X > 4500) = 1 − 0.8413 = 0.1587

As a percentage: 15.87%


Why It Matters / Exam Flags

⚠️ Always check whether the question asks for "less than" or "greater than." This determines whether you use the table value directly or subtract from 1.

⚠️ Check the answer format. Some questions want a decimal between 0 and 1. Others want a percentage between 0 and 100. Read the instructions carefully.

⚠️ Negative z-scores are normal. They mean the value is below the mean. The z-table for negative values gives small cumulative probabilities.

⚠️ For "or longer" / "or more" type phrasing, use the complementary probability: 1 minus the table value.

⚠️ Memorise a few key z-table values for sanity checks: z = 1.00 → 0.8413, z = 1.96 → 0.9750, z = 2.00 → 0.9772.


Practice Q&A

Q: What does a z-score of 2.0 mean?

A: The value is exactly 2 standard deviations above the mean.

Q: If z = −1.50, what is the cumulative probability P(Z ≤ −1.50)?

A: From the z-table, P(Z ≤ −1.50) = 0.0668.

Q: A process has μ = 50 and σ = 10. What percentage of output exceeds 65?

A: z = (65 − 50)/10 = 1.50. P(Z ≤ 1.50) = 0.9332. P(X > 65) = 1 − 0.9332 = 0.0668 = 6.68%.

Q: Two values have the same absolute z-score but opposite signs. How do their probabilities relate?

A: P(Z ≤ −z) = 1 − P(Z ≤ z). The standard normal distribution is symmetric about zero.


Related Terms / Search Tags

normal distribution, Gaussian distribution, bell curve, z-score, z-table, standard score, standard normal distribution, cumulative probability, left tail, right tail, complementary probability, area under the curve, probability percentage, ENGR 216, experimental physics lab, Texas A&M